Ondo Guber: Tight race foreseen according to poll
Ondo state is the flash point this time around for our researchers. With the emergence of Mr. Eyitayo Jegede as the PDP flag bearer, permutations have drastically changed. While our initial survey was coasting in favour of Chief Olusola Oke of AD, there is an unequivocal submission on our final survey report that many of PDP members most of who are Jegede's fan had preference for Mr. Oke in the event Mr. Jimoh Ibrahim is made the flag bearer of the PDP. However, with the restoration of Mr. Jegede's mandate there appears to have been a swerve of interest. Our researchers had to conduct fresh polls to ascertain the peoples' preference in the coming election.
Below is the overview or summary of our initial poll:
Olusola Oke 39.3%
Aketi 36.9%
Ibrahim 23.8%
Our fresh poll however reveals a tight race which makes us to be in doubt that any of the three contenders could pull a surprise to win the election.
The statistics is as shown below according to senatorial districts:
POLL ANALYSIS
A total of 1500 people were randomly selected and were asked a simple question of who they would be voting for on Saturday 26th November, 2016. We focussed on three major contenders. Below is our conclusion:
Ondo North
Candidate vote %
Oke 553 37
Aketi 509 34
Jegede 438 29
Ondo South
Candidate vote %
Oke 406 27
Aketi 593 40
Jegede 501 33
Ondo Central
Candidate vote %
Oke 485 32
Aketi 433 29
Jegede 582 39
Based on the above analysis, the average percentage vote across all the senatorial districts for each candidate is as follows:
Candidate aPV
Oke 32%
Aketi 34.3%
Jegede 33.8%
From all indications, this is going to be a very tight race. Not minding the likely surprises from other contenders, whoever is going to win would win slightly. And according to the constitution of the Federal Republic of Nigeria, we forsee two things:
(1) A winner will be perfectly declared to have met the conditions as stated in the Electoral act.
(2) A likely election rerun in case the provisions of Electoral act are not met.
Note: Naija Metro Independent survey predicted accurately the Governorship election that returned Governor Godwin Obaseki of Edo State.
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