Ondo Guber: Tight race foreseen according to poll

Ondo state is the flash point this time around for our researchers. With the emergence of Mr. Eyitayo Jegede as the PDP flag bearer, permutations have drastically changed. While our initial survey was coasting in favour of Chief Olusola Oke of AD, there is an unequivocal submission on our final survey report that many of PDP members most of who are Jegede's fan had preference for Mr. Oke in the event Mr. Jimoh Ibrahim is made the flag bearer of the PDP. However, with the restoration of Mr. Jegede's mandate there appears to have been a swerve of interest. Our researchers had to conduct fresh polls to ascertain the peoples' preference in the coming election.

Below is the overview or summary of our initial poll:

Olusola Oke     39.3%

Aketi                 36.9%

Ibrahim            23.8%

Our fresh poll however reveals a tight race which makes us to be in doubt that any of the three contenders could pull a surprise to win the election.

The statistics is as shown below according to senatorial districts:

POLL ANALYSIS

A total of 1500 people were randomly selected and were asked a simple question of who they would be voting for on Saturday 26th November, 2016. We focussed on three major contenders. Below is our conclusion:

Ondo North

Candidate       vote            %

Oke                   553            37

Aketi                 509            34

Jegede             438            29


Ondo South

Candidate       vote             %

Oke                   406            27

Aketi                 593            40

Jegede             501            33


Ondo Central

Candidate         vote              %

Oke                     485             32

Aketi                   433             29

Jegede               582             39


Based on the above analysis, the average percentage vote across all the senatorial districts for each candidate is as follows:

Candidate               aPV

Oke                           32%

Aketi                         34.3%

Jegede                     33.8%

From all indications, this is going to be a very tight race. Not minding the likely surprises from other contenders, whoever is going to win would win slightly. And according to the constitution of the Federal Republic of Nigeria, we forsee two things:

(1) A winner will be perfectly declared to have met the conditions as stated in the Electoral act.

(2)  A likely election rerun in case the provisions of Electoral act are not met.

Note: Naija Metro Independent survey predicted accurately the Governorship election that returned Governor Godwin Obaseki of Edo State.